A New China Policy Requires An American Reality Check

In the 2026 elections and beyond, Democrats campaign on resetting the Trump Administration’s volatile foreign policy. Trump’s administration started Middle East Wars, sank ships in the Caribbean and imprisoned political dissenters using immigration enforcement. Liberal internationalists have some ideas planned for that Democrat-led reset. In a piece at Liberal Currents, Adam Gurri argues for a return to hawkishness towards China as a crucial part of that future, and a central pillar of any effective campaign.

It’s easy to see why liberals like the idea. China, for its part, has remained relatively unchanged in terms of human rights violations, aims of economic hegemony and other ambitions. In contrast to more fraught international issues like foreign aid or joining the international criminal court, opposing China is an easy bipartisan cause: commissions already exist on security, human rights, and a miscellany of Chinese Communist Party issues. 

Gurri writes: “A new Cold War is upon us, whether we want it or not. We can either retreat from it, and allow China to consolidate its international influence unopposed, or we can pursue a genuine reconstruction of the international system, one that creates a gravity well of liberal democracy into which regimes may be drawn.”

This mindset draws from liberal practices of foreign policy that characterized the Obama and Biden administrations. Also-ran candidates Hillary Clinton and Kamala Harris pitched variations of this system, where hawkishness was complemented by bolstering a rules-based international order of alliances and influence. The electoral track record for smarter, more liberal hawkishness remains, at best, deeply mixed. At worst, liberal hawks enable damage that Trumpian foreign policy enacts while resolving none of the recovery efforts that foreign policy requires.

Setting aside the vague fearmongering related to China’s rapid rise at the center of his piece, Gurri’s arguments fall apart based on one crucial factor: the significantly fallen ideological and geopolitical clout of the United States. In a weakened Washington and in New York’s United Nations, America shed many of the tools needed to construct the infrastructure Gurri’s idea requires. Reconstruction of those tools is required before the US can attempt to execute any foreign policy competently, much less one that demands the world follow America’s lead as moral arbiter while overlooking repeated Trump administrations.

The damage that needs repair is deep. As eyewitness accounts from former USAID staff and other career victims of DOGE  emerge, the toothlessness of American bureaucracy only becomes more and more overt. Whatever was left of the foreign policy infrastructure built up since the last Cold War was dismantled. Under the guidance of Elon Musk and his lieutenants, they were, in Musk’s words,  “fed into the woodchipper.” 

The capacity to rebuild is under threat, too.  Scholarships promoting equity in foreign policy such as the Boren and Pickering Fellowships have been suspended, delayed, reduced in scale or canceled. Whatever destruction wasn’t modified or changed by DOGE was simply picked up by an equally eager leadership team led by Marco Rubio. 

A more equitable and effective platform on China should examine what was broken or dismantled and begin a rebuilding process with swiftness and efficiency. If Democrats want a diplomatic corps that bases decisions on knowledge and research, they must give that corps the resources to learn and utilize said knowledge and research. Without an accounting of what was lost in the Trump administration, the United States cannot construct anything resembling an international order worth pursuing. 

The rebuilding process should also center individuals and communities at the epicenter of both Chinese state harassment and American persecution, of which there are many. Guan Heng, an asylum seeker who photographed prison camps in Xinjiang, spent months in immigration detention before he was finally granted asylum. Even so, he was questioned  if his intention in filming the detention facilities and then releasing the video a few days before arriving in the US was to give him grounds to apply for asylum.” Chinese scholars are still reeling from the last Trump Administration’s China initiatives. In the tragic case of Jane Wu, a principal investigator at Northwestern University, institutional harassment pressured her into taking her own life.  

The crass logic of clumsily and brutally pursuing Chinese nationals as a means to an end has become the norm of Marco Rubio’s State Department. Even when Rubio himself departs, bureaucrats that he elevated and promoted will still be embedded within Foggy Bottom. If the Secretary of State himself is any indication, the causes he previously championed in Hong Kong, Xinjiang, and Taiwan are afterthoughts at best. These communities have not remained isolated from bigotry and mistreatment during the Trump Administration. Without specific attention to their concerns, a new Democratic White House would lose their vital voices in conversations on how to best protect family members and associates still in China. 

Finally, there is the question of whether or not hawkishness produces desired results for the United States. Hawkish competition by the United States has seldom yielded a meeker, more compliant China. Xi’s strongman persona thrives under hardline conditions and allows him to further cement his grip on power and staff up on America-hawks and ideologues. A Democratic President cannot undo the experiences of Guan Heng and Jane Wu, nor can it make amends to minorities targeted by both American immigration police and Chinese authorities. The very least it can do, however, is to audit and assess how to minimize harm to the Chinese diaspora community that calls the United States home. 

A more sensible solution for potential Democratic candidates would be to begin by repairing and refurbishing the pieces of diplomacy, cultural inclusivity and the American academy. Top foreign policy programs get cut from program funding, with the resources redirected towards Christian and Mormon institutions.  The State Department itself requires an overhaul, and safety to consular staff and mistreated contractors and locals are a top priority. They cannot risk a second wave of stranded diplomats and a police-shuttered USIP office building.

While these maintenance tasks aren’t the most rewarding electorally, they are essential to the survival of effective Asia policy and sound decision-making. Instead of satisfying hawkishness for its own sake, proactive recovery and the building of diplomatic institutions must come first.

Rui Zhong is a writer and researcher living in the Washington D.C. metro area. She studies China, censorship, and technology’s role in nationalism and foreign policy.


 

Ordinary Republicans like Marco Rubio are Dismantling American Foreign Policy

Rui Zhong is a writer and researcher living in the Washington D.C. metro area. She studies China, censorship, and technology’s role in nationalism and foreign policy

Donald Trump began his second Administration allowing Elon Musk to spearhead a sweeping ransacking of the federal workforce, beginning with foreign policy. Tasked with overseeing the rapidly dissolving network of embassies and formerly independent USAID offices is Trump’s Secretary of State Marco Rubio, a longtime Republican fixture within American foreign policy. Rubio is working with colleagues within the Trump administration to renege, avoid or otherwise thwart attempts to make good on financial and policy commitments in the international space. In conjunction with the Department of Justice, Rubio argued (in his secondary role as the terminal Administrator of USAID) that the United States had no obligation to pay out frozen aid contracts already committed to ongoing projects – and then declared the overwhelming bulk of them terminated 

Pay What’s Owed. Foreign policy spending, while directed by the Secretary of State, must pay out what is allocated by Congress, and a Secretary of State should resign rather than authorize DOGE-scale cuts.
Vote Against Appointees Without Guarantees. Senators should look beyond congeniality when confirming nominees to execute bipartisan foreign policy
Design future aid institutions with an eye towards safeguarding them against the kind of sabotage authorized by Rubio.

The thorough complicity of Marco Rubio and other institutional Republican stalwarts goes far deeper than mere verbal hypocrisy. Within Trump’s first administration, Rubio identified the problem of Trump’s conduct against Ukraine following impeachment by the House of Representatives, but ultimately declined to convict him. 

“Can anyone doubt that at least half of the country would view his removal as illegitimate — as nothing short of a coup d’état?” Rubio wrote at the time in a blog post justifying his decision. “It is difficult to conceive of any scheme Putin could undertake that would undermine confidence in our democracy more than removal would.” 

Five years later, Rubio’s entry and active participation in the second Trump Administration reflects a shift in conventional Republican culture, a highly visible reminder of the party’s transformation from one that first mocked, then reluctantly welcomed Trump, to one that is fundamentally about Trump. On international relations in particular, mainstream Republicans have changed to accommodate Trump, with Rubio only the latest member of the cadre to bend the knee.

Of all the selections by Donald Trump for the Cabinet of his second administration, Rubio has the longest tenure within Republican politics and conservative spaces. Foreign policy was one of the ways Rubio had appealed to moderates and even liberals, taking photo opportunities with Hong Kong dissenters and through his service on the human rights-centric Congressional-Executive Commission on China.

During his confirmation hearings, Democratic Senators praised the cordial lines of communication they maintained over the course of his fourteen-year Senate career. “You and I have also had a good working relationship for many years,” said Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH). “I believe you have the skills and are well qualified to serve as secretary of State.” The Senate voted to confirm Rubio 99 in favor with no dissents, greeting Rubio’s nomination to Secretary of State as the promise of a steady hand to steer foreign policy. 

Most of his former Democratic colleagues likely did not envision Rubio rushing to sign off on decisions such as abruptly ending funding the Fulbright Program, nor his sullen silence as Trump and Vance berated Ukrainian President for lack of deference during a March 1st Oval Office Meeting. When asked about his opinion of the meeting by CNN, Rubio said: “I think he should apologize for wasting our time for a meeting that was gonna [sic] end the way it did.” Putin’s schemes were not mentioned. Likely, such topics are not encouraged under the Trump administration.

It is easy to understand why Democratic Senators might have expected Rubio to continue the hawkish but structurally normative habits of his Senate career. During Trump’s First Administration, then-Senator Rubio and most Republicans stuck to a baseline level of support for American soft power institutions and foreign policy practices. Non-political staffers were not subject to executive office oversight, and the Hill mostly consulted agencies for technical information in a neutral relationship. The second Trump administration began instead with a bombastic declaration to cut departments, a process rhetorically and explicitly guided by Elon Musk, through his role in the new Department of Government Efficiency.

Elevated to Secretary of State, Rubio capitulated to these cuts almost immediately, discarding the values-based steps he took to secure the cabinet nomination in the first place. As the White House cut State Department offices like the office of Democracy, Human Rights and Labor, he accepted such closures as collateral damage in service of the same fictional concept of cutting government to efficiency pursued by Musk and his hit team of hired henchmen. At the time of the writing of this piece, Rubio also allegedly pursued the usage of AI to deport students that appeared “pro-Hamas.” He also moved to exempt a wide swath of policies from public commentary during draft phases, removing a mechanism that allowed for democratic input on policies under consideration. And he has, the New Republic reports, “terminated a contract that was in the process of transferring evidence of alleged Russian abductions of Ukrainian children—a potential war crime—to law enforcement officials in Europe.” 

Rubio’s foreign policy doctrine and its wide-ranging surveillance and policy process changes would not look out of place in the authoritarian regimes he’d pursued hawkishly as a Senator. It is not unheard of for politicians to change opinions or policy positions as they rise in power and prominence, nor is it unorthodox practice for them to discard previously-held values at the apex of that political climb. Rubio’s opportunism, however, stands out because he presides over a particularly monumental and irreversible demolition project. If Rubio took the position under the hopes that he would guide foreign policy as he had from the Senate, he has instead been tasked with dismantling the very institutions needed to execute US diplomacy in the world. Partners, contractors and grantees in the United States and abroad cannot forget or experience in reverse the betrayal they feel at getting abandoned. Because Rubio put his face and name to the abandonment, there can be no lifeline offered from any other mainstream Republicans, unless an unforeseen sea change occurs. 

Immediate monetary disbursement and assurance given to grantees, allies and partners are the absolute minimum of what would be needed to restore this historic crisis of confidence in the U.S. foreign policy institutions. Money obligated to agreements are a cornerstone of maintaining the reputation of the United States as an implementation partner on the most fundamental diplomatic, consular and development policies. Based on current trajectories of agencies and programs being cut, frozen or suspended, Rubio and the purportedly “stabilizing” element of the Republican party can be written off as uninterested, unwilling or unable to curb the impulses of Musk and Trump.

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